Why the U.S. Government Hates -and Fears- Gold

By Alan Walsh

The U.S. Government hates Gold because it serves as a clear, unambiguous, and constant sign of their fiscal irresponsibility.

U.S. currency used to be issued by the U.S. Government, and was backed by Gold. You could literally trade-in your dollars for Gold. Then, the Federal Reserve system was created, the dollar was disconnected from Gold, and the U.S. government stopped issuing currency. To really “seal the deal”, the government even outlawed individual ownership of Gold for awhile and forced citizens to sell it to them at a fixed price they set; then they raised the “official” price of Gold, devaluing every dollar citizens held by about 40%.

The Federal Reserve (also referred to as the U.S. central banking system, or central bank) is not a government agency; it’s a private bank, owned by other big banks, and run by people from those banks. When the U.S. Government wants additional money to spend, it buys it at face value ($100 for a $100 bill, for instance) from the Federal Reserve; which creates the currency. That’s why your dollars say “Federal Reserve Note” on them. In order to buy the currency, the U.S. government goes into debt  via Treasury Notes & Bills, etc. The government then spends that money.

Why did the U.S. government do this? So politicians could avoid accountability, buy votes, get reelected, increase their power, and transfer the effect of their spending to the future. This is how the federal government got to be the monster it is today. Under the old system, the government could only spend as much as it held in gold-backed dollars. If they wanted to spend more, they had to tax citizens. Citizens don’t like higher taxes, and get upset. Politicians lose jobs. Government was held accountable. The new Federal Reserve system removes this nasty inconvenience by letting the politicians just go buy currency from the Federal Reserve, creating new debt in the process; and government debt is a claim on the productivity of the nation – therefore it is your debt. Government doesn’t produce; it only consumes – your wealth. The income tax was created at the same time as the Federal Reserve system to pay for this debt.

As government buys more dollars from the Federal Reserve (and creates more debt in the process), it increases the number of dollars in circulation; thus creating inflation – plus damaging boom & bust cycles in the economy – plus interest expense on the debt. This is where Gold becomes very annoying to them. Gold, like any other commodity, adjusts in price with inflation and glaringly points it out. As the number of dollars in circulation goes up, the price of Gold rises.  People see their purchasing power in dollars go down, so they trade them for Gold; which holds its purchasing power in times of inflation and serves as alternative money. Government doesn’t want you to notice their little shell game, and they don’t want you to stop using and holding their inflationary dollars, so they hate Gold.

Our government, and other governments who play the same shell game, try to control the price of Gold and hold it artificially down through surreptitious trading activity in league with major financial firms. They try to send you false signals about their inflationary borrow & spend activity by artificially holding the cost of Gold down. If the price of Gold is low, everything must be okay, right? Wrong! Very, very wrong!

We’ve now reached a point where government borrowing and spending is so extreme that they can’t artificially hold Gold down to the price level they would like anymore.  Thus, Gold is trading near $1,700.00 per ounce. Many experts argue that if the government wasn’t surreptitiously intervening in the market to hold the price of Gold down, it would be trading for $3,000 or more.  Regardless, the rise in the price of Gold is a clear and unambiguous signal that government spending is out of control. The effect of this is to undermine peoples’ faith in the dollar and our government.  That makes it hard for government to keep up their shell game. Their borrowing & spending has also created a debt that the income tax can’t begin to cover – plus those nasty and growing interest obligations.

Sober people have also questioned how much of the Gold the government holds it actually owns anymore. They suspect that the government’s secret Gold sales to flood the market and hold the market price of Gold down have been so extensive that very little of the Gold they hold is actually owned by them anymore. Large Gold sales usually don’t involve physical transfer. An electronic record is created to note the new ownership. Therefore the government may be sitting on a large cache of Gold that “we the people” don’t own anymore. Perhaps this is partly why the price of Gold has risen despite government’s best efforts to hold it down. Maybe they’ve run out of Gold to sell. We can’t know for sure, because the government hides this activity behind a thick wall of secrecy. But bits and pieces of info leak out now and then, and they paint a dismal picture. Investigators have even uncovered documents created by central bankers for central bankers on how to execute market intervention between each other to hold the Gold price down.

As the government shell game grows, people start paying attention, and realizing how they’re being hosed by the government’s inflationary, destructive borrow and spend policy. If more Americans understood how our monetary policy works, and what government’s doing to them, they’d be screaming. Government does everything it can to keep us in ignorance.

Faith in the U.S. Dollar has been so severely undermined that other nations, who are not so naive in these matters, are seriously talking about abandoning the dollar as the “world currency”, a beneficial status which the U.S. has enjoyed since the end of World War II. If that happens, investment coming into the U.S. will decline and government will find it increasingly difficult to sell or roll-over their debt; China being our largest current creditor. Then the U.S. will hit a “fiscal cliff” that makes the current one look like a ride in the park.

The U.S. national debt is now over $16 Trillion dollars; over $52,000 per person, and approx. 125% of gross domestic product (gross domestic product being our productivity as a nation – your productivity – the productivity our government taxes you on) – a new record by far. The current government’s policies alone added $8 Trillion to that debt in the last four years. Then there’s the interest on all that debt. Budget projections indicate that the national debt could hit $20 Trillion in the next couple years if we keep going the way we are. Other nations are starting to look at the U.S. like Greece; a bankrupt financial disaster. We’re mortgaging our nation to entities like China, who are not exactly our friends. The current administration’s indebted the nation to a greater extent than any other, but they’re not the only perpetrators. This has been going for decades since the new system was created. It’s not a Democrat or Republican problem – it’s a national tragedy.

Gold at $1,700 an ounce sends this signal clearly – which government fears and hates.

The government wants you to hold their inflationary dollars. The Federal Reserve does too; and bad-mouths Gold. The finance houses who surreptitiously work with the government to control the price of Gold tell you that Gold is an unproductive asset, and you should hold dollars instead; while they quietly buy it for their own accounts. They’re all propagandizing you to keep their shell game going. I remember one time a couple of years ago when one of the major financial houses (JP Morgan I believe) was publicly telling it’s clients to sell Gold, while privately buying it for their own account.

The national tragedy goes even deeper. The Federal Reserve holds secret meetings where it shares inside information with the finance houses who help it; information that they use to make millions and billions on the markets from you unknowing investors. If you think the equity & debt markets are free and open, think again. It’s all manipulated.

Let’s talk about one of the many ways in which your government shafts you with this shell game – Social Security. You are required to make tax payments into Social Security. These payments are made with post-income tax dollars (you’re first income-taxed on the income you pay the social security tax with). The government spends the social security revenues (money) and replaces them in the social security trust fund with government debt instruments; thus, the government spends your social security contributions as it sees fit, and replaces them with new government debt. Of course, government debt is a claim on the productivity of the country – your productivity – and therefore represents a new debt you as citizens take on. This is important to note, because government spends your social security contributions, and creates a new debt owed by you as a citizen (another tax) for payment of benefits to you. Then, when you receive your benefits, up to 85% of them are subject to income tax depending on your filing status and how much income from other sources you have coming in.

To recap, the government first taxes the income you pay social security taxes with (income tax), then taxes you for social security (social security tax), then spends the money and replaces it with new debt (a new claim on your productivity, or tax), and then taxes you on your benefits (income tax). That’s three taxes on the money you put into social security, plus the social security tax itself. Of course, the government must pay interest on the new debt they created (another claim on your productivity, or tax), so really you pay five taxes; and your contributions are spent now for anything the government wants. Most citizens think the government is taking their money and putting it into a social security trust fund (savings account) to pay your benefits. Nope! That money’s gone. They spent it and replaced it with debt – debt that you owe as citizens.

The government says that your benefits money is safe because it’s invested in instruments guaranteed by the U.S. government. What they really mean is that your benefit claims are backed by their ability to tax you; or create new debt that you owe as a citizen; and that’s the only way those benefits are going to be paid. They just keep spending the tax money as it comes in, and pass the buck for social security obligations to future generations. Neat trick huh?

Additionally, “people retiring today are part of the first generation of workers who have paid more in Social Security taxes during their careers than they will receive in benefits after they retire. It’s a historic shift that will only get worse for future retirees, according to an analysis by The Associated Press.”  The government absorbed all the money you put in, plus the employer contributions, and you won’t even get back what you alone put in; let alone all the interest you could have earned on that money over the years. This is what your government has done for you. Isn’t it great? What a deal!

Your wealth, purchasing power, and financial stability are being undermined every day by the government’s borrow & spend shell game, the underhanded dealings of the Federal Reserve and it’s finance house cronies, and very likely the sale of our nation’s Gold reserves (your Gold reserves) to manipulate the markets and fool you. Even your most basic “protections” are being undermined by government subterfuge. Gold serves as a clear warning, and an alternative.

That’s why the U.S. government hates -and fears- Gold.

Be informed.

Learn More About the U.S. Government Monetary Policy:

http://walshal.wordpress.com/2009/04/11/monetary-policy-a-primer/

Other Suggested Reading:

America Has Become a Pinata

http://walshal.wordpress.com/2012/12/28/america-has-become-a-pinata/

Rubber shortage increasing tire prices

Updated: 4:15 am

Published: 4:13 am

courtesy of Fox.xom

 

LITTLE ROCK, AR – A combination of supply shortage and raw material price increases means drivers are paying more for tires.  At All About Tire and Brake, Michael Wylie says it seems every 45 days the price of tires goes up. He says while he’s tried to eat as much of the cost increase as possible, to stay in business, he has to pass some of the price on to his customers. “Because of a lot of natural disasters in Indonesia, South America, and Asia, the production of rubber crop has been severely damaged. The tsunami in Japan had a huge impact.  “Customers are now trying to prolong the life of their tires and put off replacing them. For example, a set of average price tires on a medium size sedan has gone from an average of about $50 each, to now costing close to $70.With summer heat the number one enemy of tires, and summer being a travel season, drivers like Helen Crossfield can’t put off purchasing tires any longer. The higher cost does mean she’ll have to spend less money elsewhere. “It’s a little bit painful. I’m just glad I had enough to afford it.”

Investing in new tires now could save money later down the road, because letting tires wear too thin is dangerous.

Michael Wylie at All About Tire and Brake says worn out tires are a huge safety concern. “Tires are the only thing between you and the road.”

With so many sizes and varieties, Michael Wylie only stocks the most popular tires at All About Tire and Brake. He says with accurate tire pressure, not only will tires last longer, but drivers can get better fuel economy.

Prices of oil and steel have also driven steadily upward and show little signs of coming down. That means transport costs are also more expensive.

Fed growing more worried about weak economy

Some considering additional stimulus; Bernanke on Hill Wednesday

msnbc.com news services

updated 7/12/2011 5:47:35 PM ET 2011-07-12T21:47:35

 

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials are growing increasingly concerned about the slow and jobless economic recovery and are considering further monetary stimulus, according to meeting minutes released Tuesday.

“The recent deterioration in labor market conditions was a particular concern … because the prospects for job growth were seen as an important source of uncertainty in the economic outlook,” accroding to the notes from the midyear meeting held June 21 and 22.

Although the minutes showed officials were concerned that continued weak growth could undercut the two-year-old recovery, not all policy makers were convinced renewed stimulus is needed. A few held the opposite view, saying that if recent increases in inflation do not moderate, the Fed should consider tightening policy sooner than expected.

The minutes come just ahead of two days of Capitol Hill testimoney by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, who will be delivering the central bank’s latest economic outlook.

Fed policymakers met shortly after the government released its May employment report. Last week the government offered an even gloomier report for June.

The economy added just 18,000 jobs last month, the fewest in nine months. And the May data were revised downward to show just 25,000 jobs added — fewer than half of what was initially reported. The unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent, the highest rate this year.

Word that some Fed officials want to consider a third round of monetary stimulus briefly boosted the stock market late Tuesday, but stock prices turned downward again when Ireland’s government bonds were downgraded to junk status by Moody’s reflecting a worsening of the European debt situation.

Major market indexes fell about 0.5 percent.

Companies have pulled back sharply on hiring after adding an average of 215,000 jobs per month from February through April. The economy typically needs to add 125,000 jobs per month just to keep up with population growth. And at least twice that many jobs are needed to bring down the unemployment rate.

Link to Full Article

Global growth: American exceptionalism

American exceptionalism

Jul 1st 2011, 17:41 by R.A. | WASHINGTON; Courtesy, The Economist

AMERICA’S economic prospects seem to be improving, but it’s very nearly alone in that respect. The latest data from purchasing managers’ indexes around the world provide a snapshot of a global slowdown. While American manufacturing activity grew at a faster pace in June relative to May, most countries saw slowdowns and a few dipped back into contractionary territory. (See this useful interactive at Real Time Economics for an easy comparison.)

Slowing growth in China has grabbed attention, given recent headlines about debt loads and unrest there. China’s PMI dipped from 52 to 50.9, barely in expansionary territory, in June. That’s not entirely a bad thing, however. Chinese inflation has been running uncomfortably high, and the government has been working to slow the economy’s growth. The story is the same in India, where activity also slowed, and in Brazil, where production actually fell in June.

As the chart at right indicates, the Indian and Brazilian economies have been running especially hot. (You can see an interactive chart of the factors that make-up the index here.) Depending on the pace of the slowdown over the next few months, there are sure to be worries about hard landings. Emerging market governments have little choice but to combat destabilising inflation.

The good news for the rich world is that slowing emerging market growth will keep commodity prices. That, in turn, will dampen inflationary pressures and free central banks to respond more appropriately to domestic economic conditions. In Europe, those conditions are weak and getting weaker. Manufacturing activity for the euro zone decelerated sharply in June. The big core economies, Germany and France, weren’t spared. But matters are worse around the periphery.

Link to Full Article

Ethanol Production Fueling ‘Food Inflation’

Courtesy of NEWSMAX:

While rising food prices have been a factor in recent riots in Egypt, Tunisia and elsewhere, the United States is continuing to increase its use of corn to make ethanol, pushing up grain and meat prices worldwide.

“The global economy is getting back on its feet, but so too is an old enemy: food inflation,” The Wall Street Journal states in an editorial, noting that the United Nations benchmark index for food reached a record high in December, “raising fears of shortages and higher prices.”

In 2001, only 7 percent of America’s corn crop, about 707 million bushels, was used to make ethanol fuel for vehicles. By 2010, nearly 40 percent of American corn went for ethanol — almost 5 billion bushels out of total U.S. production of 12.4 billion bushels.

American farmers account for about 39 percent of global corn production, and about 16 percent of the crop is exported, so America’s ethanol production can influence world prices.

March futures for corn recently hit a 30-month high of $6.67 a bushel, up from $4 a bushel a year ago.

Also, since 40 percent of U.S. corn production is used as animal feed, rising corn prices push up the cost of beef, poultry and other items as well.

“This trend is the deliberate result of policies designed to subsidize ethanol,” and it “coincides with a growing consensus that ethanol achieves none of its alleged policy goals,” The Journal observes.

Ethanol supporters claim it reduces American dependence on foreign oil, but a Cornell University scientist calculated that even if the entire American crop was used for ethanol, it would satisfy just 4 percent of our oil consumption.

And the Environmental Protection Agency has downplayed assertions that ethanol provides a cleaner source of energy than gasoline, saying it “has a minimal to negative impact on the environment,” according to The Journal.

The American Thinker on Monday observed: “Today there is a global food shortage and sky-rocketing prices. This has become the underlying factor in the riots in Tunisia, Algeria and Egypt, where up to 56 percent of a person’s income is dedicated to the acquisition of food. These riots are now leading to the upheaval of governments and the very real possibility of the ascendancy of the radical elements into control.”

A significant factor “in the overall global food situation is the American decision to, in essence, burn food in its cars, a policy championed by the environmentalists since the 1990s,” American Thinker also noted.

“There is no quicker way to foment riots and revolution than to deprive the populace of food, particularly when so much daily income goes into feeding oneself and one’s family. The pictures we have seen in North Africa may well be repeated elsewhere throughout the world.”

Noting that Congress recently voted to extend the $5 billion tax credit for blending ethanol into gasoline, The Journal concludes: “At a time when the world will need more corn and grains, it makes no sense to devote scarce farmland to make a fuel that exists only because of taxpayer subsidies and mandates.

“If food supplies tighten and prices keep rising, such a policy will soon become immoral.”

Money Magazine: Inflation Wave Coming

The latest issue of Money magazine is warning of a significant trend for the coming year …

… the Federal Reserve will reinflate the economy, spurring significant inflation.

In its “Investor Guide 2011,” the magazine identifies inflation as the top trend investors need to watch for in the new year.

“After listening to recent statements by the Fed, I’m convinced central bankers will reinflate this economy by any means necessary,” Pat Dorsey, director of equity research for Morningstar, writes in Money.

“Yet it’s hard to reinflate the economy just enough to get job creation going, but not so much that inflation remains perfectly in check.  In fact, there are precisely zero historical examples of that kind of macroeconomic fine-tuning, which means the risk of the Fed overshooting is high.”

Dorsey isn’t alone in warning of looming inflation.  Billionaire investor Warren Buffett said at last year’s shareholders meeting of his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. that “the prospects for significant inflation have increased.”

He said more recently that “a country that continuously expands its debt as a percentage of GDP and raises much of the money abroad to finance that, at some point, it’s going to inflate its way out of the burden of that debt.”

Other financial experts who see inflation on the horizon include Robert Wiedemer, co-author of the best-selling book “Aftershock,” who in 2006 predicted the economic meltdown, and Richard Rahn, chairman of the Institute for Global Economic Growth.

David Skarica, author of the new best-selling book “The Great Super Cycle: Profit from the Coming Inflation and Dollar Devaluation,” says that the Federal Reserve and other central banks are actively inflating their currencies to monetize staggering debt loads.

This, in turn, will lead to a significant dollar devaluation with the greenback set to devalue by as much as 50 percent during the next few years, Skarica says.

WARNING SIGNALS FLASHING!

“August New Orders for Durable Goods Remained in Great Depression Territory…

Economic and Liquidity Crises Remain Ongoing
No Recovery in New Orders or Housing
Fed Pushes Monetary Base to Record High

From the series peak in 2006, the current order level is down by 28.6%, within great depression territory per SGS definition of a greater than 25% peak-to-trough decline in economic activity…”

BLS Revision Nightmare: March 2009 Payrolls Overstated by 824,000
Birth-Death Model Falsely Boosting Jobs Reporting in Recession Environment
Monthly Jobs Loss of 263,000 (Payroll Survey) versus Monthly Employment Decline of – 710,000 (Household Survey)

JOHN WILLIAMS’ SHADOW GOVERNMENT STATISTICS
FLASH UPDATES – September 25 and October 2, 2009

“The Recession is Over” talk has become Chic among the Trendy Big Media Talking Heads.

The Fundamentals, Technicals, and Interventionals for the Equities Markets, and certain key Commodities, tell a different story.

Let’s consider certain of these Realities, and how we might best protect and profit.

Given that U.S. Consumer/Taxpayers, and, often, Mortgage holders, are 70% of the U.S. Economy, their present and prospective Economic Condition is quite relevant to future Economic and Markets’ Performance. This Sector has relied on and still to a large degree does still rely on credit, But:

“Both bank credit and the M3 money supply in the United States have been contracting at rates comparable to the onset of the Great Depression since early summer, raising fears of a double-dip recession in 2010 and a slide into debt-deflation…

Professor Tim Congdon from International Monetary Research said US bank loans have fallen at an annual pace of almost 14pc in the three months to August (from $7,147bn to $6,886bn).

“There has been nothing like this in the USA since the 1930s,” he said. “The rapid destruction of money balances is madness.” ”

US credit shrinks at Great Depression rate prompting fears of double-dip recession
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor, 14 Sep 2009

And from a Deepcaster reader:

“Evans-Pritchard suggests that the Fed has been forced to stop wholesale money creation [out of thin air] because of pressure from China, which fears dollar devaluation on account of its huge dollar holdings. Why don’t I believe that the Fed has slowed down its ‘quantitative easing’?

It’s because the US government is still spending far in excess of revenues, and where does it get the money to make up the difference except from selling bonds?

And who believes that foreigners and domestic buyers continue to be so stupid that they are buying those bonds in the required quantity? Since the Treasury has abdicated from printing its own money [Lincoln’s and JFK’s greenbacks], the Fed has to create money [out of thin air] to buy the bonds.

I think the Fed is still doing it, only more secretly, thus giving rise to the probably-false rumor that M3 is shrinking, or at least is rising at a slower pace. I am confident that increasing tons of electronic US$s are in central bank and banker hands, even if Main Street, USA, is hurting for lack of credit.

The risk of a double-dip Depressions is very real. Nevertheless, the assumption that it will be accompanied by price deflation may be misplaced. A double-dip Depression in an INFLATIONARY price environment seems as likely.”

This Astute Deepcaster Reader has got it right.

But a key consideration is that the Inflation we are Now (still!) experiencing is Hidden by the gimmicking of Official Statistics.

Shadowstats.com calculates the numbers the old-fashioned way they were calculated before the era of “Political Statistics” began in earnest in the 1980’s and 1990’s. An apparent goal of this distortion of key Statistical Realities is to hide Unpleasant Facts (e.g. the dramatic reduction in $U.S. Dollar purchasing power) from Investors world-wide.

Indeed, it is essential for Investors today to get the Real Numbers versus the gimmicked Official Statistics.

Consider, for example, the Official Statistics versus the Real Statistics courtesy of Shadowstats.com

Official Numbers	vs.	Real Numbers
Annual Consumer Price Inflation reported September 16, 2009
-3%		5.5% (annualized September Rate)
U.S. Unemployment reported October 2, 2009
9.8%		21.4%
U.S. GDP Annual Growth/Decline reported September 30, 2009
-3.9%		-6%

So we are facing the worst of both Worlds – living with the deflation-like consequences of an increasingly slowing and deleveraging economy, but in a fundamentally price-inflationary environment. In other words we are facing a Hyperinflationary Depression and it is hard to see how it can be avoided given the following overview courtesy of Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.

“Private credit is contracting on both sides of the Atlantic. The M3 money data is flashing early warning signals of a deflation crisis next year in nearly half the world economy. Emergency schemes that have propped up spending are being withdrawn, gently or otherwise…

Unemployment benefits have masked social hardship unto now but these are starting to expire with cliff-edge effects. The jobless army in Spain will be reduced to E100 a week; in Estonia to E15…

Car sales were up 28 percent in August, but only by stealing from the future…

Weaker US data is starting to trickle in. Shipments of capital goods fell by 1.9 percent in August. New house sales are stuck near 430,000 — down 70 percent from their peak — despite an $8,000 tax credit for first-time buyers. It expires in November.

We are moving into a phase when most OECD states must retrench to head off debt-compound traps.

Britain faces the broad sword; Spain has told ministries to slash 8pc of discretionary spending; the IMF says Japan risks a funding crisis.

If you look at the sheer scale of global stimulus this year, what shocks is how little has been achieved. China’s exports were down 23 percent in August; Japan’s were down 36 percent; industrial production has dropped by 23 percent in Japan, 18 percent in Italy, 17 percent in Germany, 13 percent in France and Russia, and 11 percent in the US.

Call this a “V-shaped” recovery if you want. Markets are pricing in economic growth that is not occurring.

The overwhelming fact is that private spending has slumped in the deficit countries of the Anglosphere, Club Med, and East Europe but has not risen enough in the surplus countries (East Asia and Germany) to compensate. Excess capacity remains near post-war highs across the world…

Fed chairman Ben Bernanke spoke in April 2008 of “a return to growth in the second half of this year”, and again in July 2008 that growth would “pick up gradually over the next two years.”

He could have thought such a thing only if he was ignoring the money data. Key aggregates had been in free-fall for months.

I cited monetarists in July 2008 warning that the lifeblood of the Western credit was “draining away.” For whatever reason (the lockhold of New Keynesian ideology?) the Fed missed the signal…

But you ignore the data at your peril.

Draw your own conclusion. Western central banks will have to “monetize” deficits on a huge scale to stave off debt deflation. The longer they think otherwise, the worse it will be.”

Huge monetizing still needed to avert debt deflation
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph, London
Saturday, September 26, 2009

Indeed! … Central Banks will have to Monetize Debts on a huge Scale to Stave off Crises!

But one critical “Hooker” is that it is now Apparent that certain Leading Central Banks — primarily The Fed – have for years already been monetizing debt covertly.

This Monetization is Part and Parcel of their Overall Scheme of Overt and Covert Markets Intervention and Manipulation.

But in conducting this increased monetization The private for-profit Fed (doubtless with cooperation from its Cartel* of key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions) appears to have cleverly used the Monetization as yet another tool to continue to manipulate the Markets, especially Equities, to their Fed-desired levels.

*We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s December, 2008 Letter containing a summary overview of Intervention entitled “A Strategy for Profiting from the Cartel’s Dark Interventions & Evolving Techniques” and Deepcaster’s July, 2009 Letter entitled “A Strategy For Profiting From The Cartel’s Dark Interventions & Evolving Techniques – II” in the “Latest Letter” Cache at http://www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org for information on precious metals price manipulation. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.”

It is not too much of an oversimplification to say that throughout the Summer, 2009 the Fundamentals and, often, key Technicals, signaled that the Equities Markets should take a dive.

Yet The Cartel Intervenors have kept Equities headed up, riding on massive sugary injections of liquidity and Intervention. Indeed there is a remarkable correlation between the rallying performance of the Equities Markets since March, 2009 and The overt implementation of the Fed’s monetization, which also began in earnest in mid-March, 2009. (The evidence indicates that Covert Monetization has been going on for years.)

Recall that “quantitative easing” just means Fed monetization of U.S. Treasury Debt – the private for-profit Fed prints (keystrokes) money out of thin air to buy U.S. debt thus keeping interest rates lower than they would otherwise be. But while very negative long-term financial and economic systemic consequences flow from this monetization, in the short-term the consequences can appear beneficial. Witness the Equities Markets Rally.

To be numerate about it, consider the Key correlation between the post mid-March, 2009 Equities Market Rally and Monetization. Since the beginning of the overt Quantitative Easing (March, 2009) the value of Total Securities Held Outright on the Fed’s Balance Sheet (the public Balance Sheet, that is, — even Congress has not been able to coax The Fed to reveal its private balance sheet) has increased by $917 billon – from $580 billion to about $1.5 Trillion as we write.

In the same period the S&P increased from 720ish to over 1025 as we write.

How has this monetization likely become reflected in the S&P?

The Fed’s Primary Dealers (read Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan Chase et. al.) “rent” U.S. government securities and then collateralize them. They use the proceeds to make the Equities Markets indices rise (since Mid-March, 2009) in spite of Fundamentals and Technicals which, sans Interventions, would dictate otherwise.

Thus it appears the Fed is using Monetization as yet another Tool – in addition to TOMO’s, POMO’s, the TARP, and the TALF etc. (see Deepcaster July, 2009 letter in the ‘Latest Letter’ cache at www.deepcaster.com for more details) – to manipulate the Markets.

Of course, this chicanery is lethally detrimental to the U.S. Dollar in the long run and to the financial system and economy as a whole. It is Moral Hazard in spades.

In particular, it is injurious to holders of the U.S. Dollar-denominated assets such as investors world-wide, and U.S. dollar-reliant retirees. The purchasing power of their Dollars continues to diminish, as Rep. Ron Paul has pointed out, but is somewhat masked by the gimmicking of Official Statistics. (see below)

On the other hand, those who are aware of the Cartel Manipulation “Game” can use the knowledge to their advantage in profiting and in protecting wealth.

The Strategy – Guidelines for Identifying Opportunities for Profit and Protection

1. 1. Get the Real Data. As many Investors suspect, Crucial Official Government and Agency Economic and Financial Data are of highly questionable validity. The Data set forth above from shadowstats.com is a good starting point.Educate yourself about the realities of the marketplace using Alternative Data Sources such as Deepcaster, Gold Anti-Trust Committee (www.gata.org), and shadowstats.com. Gathering and staying attuned to authentic information regarding the marketplace can save one much financial grief as well as position one for profit.
2. 2. Take Account of both Overt and Covert Cartel Intervention. Many of these same investors who suspect Official Statistics also rightly suspect that the private-for-profit U.S. Federal Reserve in conjunction with certain other Central Banks and Favored Financial Institutions overtly and covertly manipulate Major Markets. But they might not be aware that covert Market Interventions and Data Manipulation are likely far more pervasive than generally believed, as detailed in Deepcaster’s articles mentioned above.As well, such investors may not have thought systematically about how one copes with and profits from such Intervention and Data Manipulation.

   Consider one example of Cartel Intervention: the Traditional and Legitimate Safe Haven from inflation, deflation, and risk, is Gold. Yet, Gold has, during the recent periods of extreme financial market turmoil, been taken down in price from its highs of over $1000/oz down to around the mid-$700 level (e.g. in 2008) when it should have skyrocketed.

   For example, in early March, 2008 Gold was over $1000/oz. when the Bear Stearns Crisis revealed the fragility of the Financial System. Gold should surely have skyrocketed then. Instead, it was brutally taken down. Were its price not manipulated, Deepcaster’s view is that its price would be over $3,000.00 per ounce today.

   Deepcaster and others, including the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee, have offered considerable evidence that the Cartel* of Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions are the culprits behind these dramatic and devastating Takedowns. See Deepcaster’s Alert of 12/25/07 “A Strategy for Profiting from Cartel Intervention in Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Other Tangible Assets Markets” in the Alerts Cache at www.deepcaster.com, which inter alia provides a Strategy for insulating oneself from Cartel Takedowns and building a Core Position in Gold and Silver.

   But there is a Profitable Refuge from Market Intervention and Data Manipulation. That Profitable Refuge lies in the Strategy described in the aforementioned Alert, certain characteristics of which we outline here:

3. 3. Recognize that the “Buy and Hold” strategy rarely succeeds anymore. The Eminence Grise of Newsletter writers, Harry Schultz perhaps put it the best when he stated that “buy and hold no longer works anymore, even with Gold.” Recent Market Developments should suffice to demonstrate this principle!
4. 4. Track the Covert Interventionals as well as the Technicals and Fundamentals and Overt Interventionals. Tracking the Footprints, as it were, of the Covert Interventionals (e.g. the Repo and TSLF Pools) daily can often, but not always, give one excellent clues about The Cartel’s next likely Interventional Move – - such clues are essential to preserving wealth and making profits. Deepcaster’s tracking of The Interventionals, for example, allowed him to recommend five short positions going into September, 2008, (i.e. before the Market Crash) all of which he has subsequently recommended be profitably liquidated. Deepcaster’s recent article “Cartel Angst Equals Investor Advantage” (9/18/2009 can be found in the ‘Articles by Deepcaster’ cache at http://www.deepcaster.com) lays out a specific strategy for use in investing and trading in the heavily manipulated Gold and Silver Market.
5. 5. Perhaps most important, be prepared to go both long and short Major Market Sectors – - long near the bottoms of Interim Takedowns and short near Sector Tops. The Interventionals are essential to helping identify these tops and bottoms. In Deepcaster’s view, it will be increasingly difficult to achieve a net profit for one’s portfolio if one is unwilling and/or unable to “go short” as well as “long”.The Blossoming of the 200% and 300% (and other) leveraged ‘short’ and ‘long’ ETF’s described above provide a superb opportunity to go short and long with ease, but not, as we explain in recent articles, without risk.
6. 6. Be aware of and Active in the overall Geopolitical Landscape in order to gain an adequate understanding of how that Landscape might affect the present and future direction of the Markets. It is essential that one understand the motivations of the major players in the market and the resources at their disposal.For example, a Major Motivation of the U.S. Federal Reserve and other key Central Banks is the protection and enhancement of the legitimacy of their Treasury Securities and Fiat Currencies as Measures and Stores of Value. Therefore, one can understand that one of their Major Goals will be to attempt de-legitimize Gold, Silver and the Strategic Commodities, including especially Crude Oil, as Stores and Measures of Value. With this in mind, the periodic takedowns of Gold and Silver prices and, since July, 2008, of Crude Oil, become understandable. Moreover, such an insight applied daily to the market can result in a tremendous edge in understanding market performance, present and future.

   As well, regarding the assets at The Cartel’s disposal, if one tracks the Repurchase Agreement and TSLF Pools regularly, as Deepcaster does, and is aware of the other Interventional tools that The Cartel has at its disposal, then one gains a considerable edge.

7. 7. Finally, Hard Assets Partisans have the opportunity to become involved in Political Action to diminish the power of The Cartel. It is truly outrageous that the average unsuspecting citizen, and prospective retiree, can and does put his hard won assets in Tangible Assets and/or Retirement Accounts only to have those assets effectively de-valued by Cartel Takedowns, U.S. Dollar Devaluation and other Cartel actions. This is extremely injurious to many average citizens in many countries who are saving for the rainy day or retirement and have their retirement and/or reserves effectively taken from them. In order to help prevent this and similar outrages, we recommend taking three steps:a) Become involved in the movement to Audit and then abolish the private-for-profit U.S. Federal Reserve as Deepcaster, former Presidential candidate Rep. Ron Paul, and legendary investor Jim Rogers, all have advocated. The ‘Audit The Fed’ Bill is H.R. 1207 (and has over 280 co-sponsors in the House) and S604 in the Senate; and The Abolish The Fed Bill is H.R. 2755. www.carryingcapacity.org is a nonprofit organization which actively supports these bills.

   b) Join the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee, which works to eliminate the manipulation of the Gold and Silver markets (www.gata.org). GATA is a nonprofit organization, which makes a great contribution by gathering evidence regarding the suppression of prices of Gold, Silver and other commodities.

   c) Work to defeat The Cartel ‘End Game.’ Deepcaster has laid out the evidence regarding the Ominous Cartel “End Game” in “Coping with Power Moves in the Cartel’s ‘End Game’ “ (04/24/2009) in the ‘Articles by Deepcaster’ cache at http://www.deepcaster.com. Clearly The Cartel is sacrificing the U.S. Dollar to prop up Favored International Financial Institutions and to maintain its power. But this sacrifice cannot continue forever. See Deepcaster’s July 2008 Letter in the ‘Latest Letter’ Archives at http://www.deepcaster.com.

 

Conclusion:

If this aforementioned Strategy is employed effectively, it can result both in an increasing Core Position in Gold and Silver, and in considerable profit along the way.

Additional insights and details regarding this Strategy, which are essential to profiting from The Cartel’s Policies, are laid out in Deepcaster’s article of 3/06/09 entitled “Investor Advantage: Revisiting The Cartel’s ‘End Game’ ” in the ‘Articles by Deepcaster’ cache at www.deepcaster.com.

Protection and profit require Proactivity and attention to the Interventionals, Fundamentals and Technicals, not “Buy and Hold.” We reiterate, “Buying and Holding” for the long term rarely succeeds anymore as current market conditions attest. The one exception to this is physical Gold and Silver acquired near the Interim bottoms of Cartel Takedowns and intended to be held for the long term as a part of one’s Core position.

Indeed, the Key Point of the Strategy for Protection and Profit is careful attention not only to the Fundamentals and Technicals but also to the Interventionals. These Overt and Covert Cartel-generated Interventions have the power to move markets as those who study the matter can attest.

Thus, the Key to Profit and Protection is a Strategy: Successful Investors must become Long-Term Position Traders, with their trading choices informed by the Interventionals, as well as the Fundamentals and Technicals. Moreover engaging in the Actions suggested above can help prevent The Cartel’s obtaining Superpower status, and aid in achieving wealth protection and profits as well.

“The only thing more certain than Death and Taxes is that when anyone from the Federal Reserve speaks or writes, it is with the specific purpose of misguiding the public.”

John Pugsley, Chairman, The Sovereign Society

Best Regards,
Deepcaster

Welcome to Zombieland

by Bill Bonner
London, England

Welcome to Zombieland…where the most amazing things happen…

Starring Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner and a cast of millions…

The new movie – Zombieland – about a group of survivors in a world of zombies, was the biggest grossing film in America and Canada over the weekend. It must reflect the zeitgeist of the North American public…a deep feeling that we are living in a decaying world.

Maybe it comes from the growing awareness that the old bubble economy of the 2002-2007 period is dead. Now, survivors must defend themselves from the zombies.

Survivors are being attacked in the streets, in their homes, and at their workplaces. Zombie banks – kept alive by artificial stimulants provided by the feds – take their money and their houses. Living-dead companies block new competitors. And the zombies at the Fed and the Treasury department try to gnaw on their savings, encouraging inflation to eat away the purchasing power of the dollar.

As to this last point, the feds have gotten nowhere. They wear down their teeth for nothing. Prices are going down, not up. Houses are 30% cheaper than they were in 2006. Hotel rooms are 20% cheaper than last year. You want a luxury room? Just ask for an upgrade. Chances are good that no one is renting the luxury suites. Just make them an offer. Discounts are available almost everywhere. The Sony Playstation, for example, is now available – 25% off.

Stocks are cheaper too. They’ve been going up for the last seven months, but they’re still about a third less than they were in 2007.

Stocks fell again on Friday. Investors began to fret that maybe…just maybe…the authorities don’t have this zombie problem under control.

“Jobs news gets worse,” The New York Times tells us.

Since the stock market began going back up in March, the United States has lost 2.5 million jobs. It has lost jobs every month since December 2007. Now, unemployment – officially at one in ten workers – is the worst it has been in 26 years.

What kind of recovery is this? We don’t know, but if it continues much longer we’ll all be unemployed.

But not to worry, dear reader. Secretary of the Treasury Tim Geithner says the signs of recovery are “stronger” than expected.

We wonder what signs he’s looking at. Of course, this is the same doctor who was on the scene at the New York Fed when strange things began happening. The financial industry started acting funny in the bubble years…spending money like there was no tomorrow. And then, wouldn’t you know it, there wasn’t any tomorrow. They dropped dead in the crash of ’07-’08. But with huge injections from the Fed, they’ve turned into Zombies.

Of course, Tim Geithner missed the whole thing. So maybe he’s not the best source of recovery sightings.

A survey by Business Roundtable tells us that the ranks of the unemployed are likely to swell. Only 13% of employers have plans to hire more workers. The rest are either sitting tight…or turning workers loose.

Naturally, of all those people cut off from paychecks, more than a few are looking a little peaked. Their eyes sink back in their heads. Their skin turns grey. Soon, they’re starving for raw meat.

“Personal bankruptcies soar,” says The Wall Street Journal.

And not surprisingly, when they become desperate, they tend to default on their mortgages. We know already that auto sales drove off a cliff when the summertime ‘Cash for Clunkers’ program came to an end. Now, summer’s over. Housing sales should decline too – forcing more homeowners into default and foreclosure.

[What is happening in the US right now is clearly NOT a recovery, despite what the Feds would have you believe. This is more than misleading information - the US government is actually ripping you off as we speak.

The Sun Sets on the West

By Chris Mayer

What will the global economy look like in 2050?…and should we care about that now, forty years before the fact? Dr. Marc Faber, the 63- year-old Swiss editor of the well-regarded Gloom Boom & Doom Report, recently addressed both questions.

China ought to be the world’s largest economy by then, Faber predicts. The economies of the U.S. and India, should be neck and neck for the No. 2 spot – about 60% of the size of China’s. A distant fourth, at maybe a quarter of the size of the U.S. economy, will be Brazil, followed closely by Mexico, Russia, Indonesia and Japan.

That’s a very different world than the one we live in now, where the U.S. is No. 1 by a large margin and the European countries, such as Germany and the U.K., still figure prominently. What interests us most, though, is not so much the destination of 2050, but the path of growth to get there.

There are as many ways to show this growth trend as there are golf balls in the water at No. 15 at my local golf course. But Faber cites the trend in motor vehicle sales to illustrate the trend.

You can see that the “emerging 16? – the largest of the emerging markets, which includes China and India – caught up and passed the U.S., the European Union and Japan in 2008 as the world’s largest auto markets. What’s interesting here is that even in this recession that gap has widened.

There are all kinds of ideas that spin out of just that one observation. Cars don’t operate in a vacuum. They require an entire operating system to run, as software does. You need roads, for instance, and you need gasoline stations and gasoline. You need a lot of oil.

Just think about oil for a minute. The U.S. eats up about 25 barrels of oil per capita per year. Even countries such as South Korea and Japan consume around 15-20 barrels of oil per capita per year. China and India are tiny compared with that. China is at 1.5 barrels of oil per capita annually. And India barely registers.

So one can only imagine that as these economies grow and take up more of a share of the global economy, their oil consumption will rise exponentially. As far as investing goes, it boils down to investing in what these economies need, but don’t have.

In other words, we ought to ask the question, “For which commodities will demand not collapse?” Faber presents a chart that provides a partial answer. The chart presents China’s proven reserves of each commodity as a percentage of the world’s total reserves.

 

This chart does not include the agricultural commodities like soybeans and potash that China has in very short supply, but the chart does include many other important (and investible) commodities like copper, natural gas, uranium, bauxite (important in making aluminum), chromium (a steel additive) and manganese (important for making stainless steels). As investors, the left-hand side of the vertical line on the chart is where you want to be.

The commodities bull market, Faber ventured, is still on, though he cautioned that the road will be bumpy.

Even in commodity bull markets, 50% corrections are common.

“Hard asset booms are fueled as much by pessimism about economic prospects as by optimism about a continuously high appreciation of the commodity in question,” Faber explains. “In this sense, commodity booms are characterized by greed based on fear.”

On the question of the dollar, Faber was emphatic that we would see it lose value against the real world of things. Faber predicted that sooner or later we would have major inflation thanks to government stimulus and money printing. Therefore, Faber is long gold and silver.

He also thinks Japanese equities are depressed and points out that many Asian equities are near 20-year lows, except China’s. He also likes financial services in emerging economies and infrastructure stocks. On this latter idea, Faber said, “There are bottlenecks everywhere,” and noted a potential problem of delays or cancellations. He likes farmland, too.

As for what to avoid, Faber says turn your nose up at real estate and government bonds. There are also potential oversupply problems in tourism, with too many hotels, resorts and the like. Faber cautioned against these industries…and there are certainly too many government bonds as well.

We’ll see how it plays out, but I’m with Faber. The world is changing dramatically. And it’s the emerging markets that will provide the light at the end of the tunnel.

THE COFFIN SHAPED RECOVERY

THE COFFIN SHAPED RECOVERY

While often wrong, Bernanke is right about the recession. It’s almost over. But a depression is about to replace it.

There has been much discussion about this recovery, whether it will be a “U”, “V” or a “W” shaped recovery. The answer is none of the above. It is going to be “C -shaped” recovery, but not as in the letter “C” but as in coffin.

 

 

The Coffin-Shaped Recovery

It would be a miracle if trillions of dollars of debt could be wiped out with one stock market crash and be succeeded by a new bull market driven by another large offering of credit by the Fed.

But such a central bank-engineered miracle today is impossible. Capitalism’s natural cycles derive from central banker’s unnatural infusion of credit into previously free markets. The subsequent distortion causes market demand to expand (which everybody loves) only to be followed by the inevitable contraction—which everybody hates.

Usually, central banks wait until previous levels of excess credit have been absorbed in an economic downturn before embarking on a fresh round of credit creation. This time, however, it is different.

This time, the cumulative buildup of debt over previous cycles where contractions were cut short to minimize economic pain and attendant political consequences is now so large that any contraction is sufficient to bring down the extraordinary backlog of debt built up over previous cycles.

The current contraction is more than sufficient to do so as it is more severe than any downturn since the 1930s; and despite the frantic attempts of central banks to contain the cumulative forces unleashed by previous cycles of credit and debt, the enormous but fragile paper-based economy built by central bankers’ paper money is now collapsing.

To hopefully prevent the collapse from reaching its catastrophic end, central bankers have now intervened far earlier and with far more credit hoping to prevent the day of reckoning, a reckoning soon to be evidenced by an historic deflationary depression that will wipe out all accumulated unpayble debts, albeit at the cost of a functioning world economy.

Such is Ben Bernanke’s considerable task. Despite his outwardly positive demeanor, Bernanke is well aware that his desperate gamble hasn’t worked.

In these times, the last thing you want to be is Ben Bernanke’s sphincter.

(note: Martha declined to produce my relevant cartoon)

KEYNESIAN COPS, FRIEDMAN’S FOLLIES, AND THE FLAWED THEORY BEHIND THE RECOVERY

The current chairman of the US central bank is Ben Bernanke, a self-described student of the Great Depression; but, learning is limited by what is taught and regarding the Great Depression, Bernanke’s teacher unfortunately was Milton Friedman.

The reason why central bankers (and Ben Bernanke in particular) are flooding the global economy with money, i.e. borrowed, printed, or monetized out of thin air with such abandon (who would have thought bankers could act with abandon except, of course, when believing risk is non-existent and they’re betting someone else’s money), is because of Milton Friedman’s theory, to wit that economic contractions can be reversed by sufficient monetary expansion.

Laid bare, Freidman’s theory is another iteration of the Keynesian belief in the power of government intervention, albeit an intervention cloaked in Friedman’s more palatable—at least to those on the right—conservative garb.

Friedman argued that if the Fed had aggressively expanded the money supply in the 1930s, it would have then counteracted deflationary forces and prevented the Great Depression, an argument unfortunately as flawed as another of Friedman’s pet theories, i.e. thatfloating exchange rates would naturally over time bring global trade deficits into balance.

Note: When exchange rates were allowed to float in 1974 as encouraged by Friedman who also encouraged Nixon to abandon the gold standard in 1971, the US had a positive balance of trade. Thirty five years later, the US trade deficit is well over $800 billion and is growing over $20 billion each month (Hey, Milton, how much more time will it take to balance the trade deficit?).

Professor Antal Fekete warned several years ago that Friedman would someday be proved wrong and that we would collectively suffer the consequences; and, that just as during the Great Depression when banks hoarded the government’s cheap money instead of lending it, they would do so again when Friedman’s theory of monetary expansion was tried during another contraction.

Professor Fekete’s warnings have now come true. Today, US bank lending growth has entered negative territory at the same time cash reserves at US banks increased by 1,460 %.

Frank Shostak in Does A Liquidity Trap Pose A Threat, 9/23/09, on mises.org writes:

The latest data for lending in the eurozone the United Kingdom, and the United States display a visible weakening. In the eurozone, the yearly rate of growth of bank lending to the private sector fell to 0.6% this July from 9.3% in July last year. In the United Kingdom, the yearly rate of growth of lending to the private sector fell to 2.2% in July 2009 from 10.1% in July 2008. In the United States, the rate of growth of lending plunged to minus 3.8% in August 2009 from a positive figure of 8.6% in August 2008…At the end of July this year, [however], US banks were sitting on $729 billion of cash against $1.9 billion in July last year.

http://mises.org/story/3697 [bracketed words, mine]

Friedman’s theory is flawed and as suspect as the paper money Friedman and Keynes both promoted. Central banks can print all the money they want but that will not necessarily increase the money supply as central bankers are discovering.

Severe monetary contractions that cause deflationary depressions are so powerful they, like monetary black holes, can destroy money faster than central banks can create it.

The on-going monetary contraction is now clearly evident. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, columnist for The Telegraph UK, points out the glaring truth that Bernanke and most of his paper-weight brethren would like to avoid:

The US money supply has experienced the sharpest contraction in modern history, heightening the risk of a Wall Street crunch and a severe economic slowdown in coming months… the M3 ‘broad money” aggregates fell by almost $50bn (£26.8bn) in July, the biggest one-month fall since modern records began in 1959.

“Monthly data for July show that the broad money growth has almost collapsed,” said Gabriel Stein, the group’s leading monetary economist.

On a three-month basis, the M3 growth rate has fallen from almost 19pc earlier this year to just 2.1pc (annualised) for the period from May to July. This is below the rate of inflation, implying a shrinkage in real terms.

The growth in bank loans has turned negative to a halt since March…. shifts in M3 are a lead indicator of asset prices moves, typically six months or so ahead. If so, the latest collapse points to a grim autumn for Wall Street and for the American property market. As a rule of thumb, the data gives a one-year advance signal on economic growth, and a two-year signal on future inflation.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/2795017/Sharp-US-money-supply-contraction-points-to-Wall-Street-crunch-ahead.html

This is not your mother’s contraction. Instead, this is the mother of all contractions, a contraction far greater than even that which sent the world into the Great Depression in the 1930s.

This time, the amounts owed are exponentially greater than what was owed in the 1930s; and, the greater the debts, the farther the fall. Debt does not just disappear without consequences, nor can it be outrun, sic outgrown, as economists are desperately hoping, especially today when economies are contracting, not expanding.

Economic contractions cannot be reversed by expanding the money supply any more than wishful thinking by itself will change the world. Despite the best efforts of central bankers like Ben Bernanke, Friedman’s flawed theory cannot save the world from what is now about to happen—the mother of all depressions that may be capitalism’s last.

Keynes and Friedman, both brilliant, were both believers in paper money. Paper money has many powers, not the least of which is the power to mislead and delude.

Milton Friedman thought a lot Of paper money and more Like Keynes and others who thought the same Milton showed gold the door And now our gold is spent and gone And so is Milton too And now we’re left bereft and broke Not knowing what to do But Ben Bernanke’s at the helm Of the sinking ship we’re on And soon like Milton and our gold We, too, will soon be gone So let’s make a toast while we’re still here To those who caused our ruin To those convinced that they were right But didn’t know what they were doing

WHO BENEFITS FROM THE FRAUD OF PAPER MONEY

The substitution of paper money for gold and silver has always been imposed by those who govern upon those governed; and, in the US it was done so illegally. The US Constitution explicitly defines the US dollar in silver, not paper money. The current regime of fiat money in the US is not only a monetary abomination, it is de jure unconstitutional.

The imposition of fiat money in the US was done without the consent of the governed. However, those who govern approved it. This is because the advantages of paper money accrue to those who rule; and it is in their interests, not society’s, that paper fiat money becomes the coin of the realm.

The disadvantages of paper money are borne by society-at-large, i.e. entrepreneurs, workers, businesses, retirees, savers, etc. who pay retail for the credit dispensed wholesale to those better connected, e.g. are you able to leverage your investments 50:1 as can JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, etc.; and, can you to carry your underwater investments at full book value and borrow against them as it does Wall Street? And were you bailed out last year as were the banks?

I have always been amazed at those who identify with a system that primarily serves the needs of others and only incidentally theirs. I can only conclude that such identification is symptomatic of low self-esteem, as self-interest alone would dictate otherwise.

We are now headed towards a rendering so extreme that such divisions will become clear and perhaps the many will finally cease identifying with a system that benefits the few closest to the fountainhead of credit while penalizing the many farther downstream which usually includes them.

Modern economics is a sophisticated Ponzi-scheme cross-pollinated with a shell game designed for the advantage of government, banks and those at the front of the line wherein money is created out of thin air to be loaned to others who will in the end be indebted beyond their means to repay and whose economic futures will be destroyed by the inevitable confluence of the bankers’ compounding interest and their constant inflation of the money supply.

 

If you doubt this is so, an article The Event by Eric Andrews, is a must read, especially the areas directly concerned with money and its creation. If you already believe this is so, Eric Andrew’s article is even more important. Clear, concise, and conclusive, it points out the inherent problems with our debt-based system of paper money, a system that contains its own seeds of destruction, seeds which are now flowering, www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/2009/0921.html.

Andrews also points out where we are and perhaps headed without guessing when we will arrive. We face a minefield of possible scenarios as deflation, inflation, hyperinflation, or a combination thereof may soon be in our future as the bankers’ paper money is now about to self-destruct.

THE BARRICKADE TO GOLD CRUMBLES

We are in the final stage of the paper-boys’ efforts to preserve their crumbling fiefdoms against gold’s advance. In truth, gold is not advancing at all. It is standing still. It is the constant decline in the value of paper money that makes it appear that gold is rising. Extant virtue needs no movement.

While I am in deep admiration of Professor Fekete’s insights on gold and money, I do not envy the price he paid for his learning. Professor Fekete’s understanding of monetary chaos derives from a childhood in Hungary beset by a hyperinflation more severe than even that of the Weimar Republic or Zimbabwe.

Professor Fekete then escaped communist oppression in Hungary to make his way to Canada where he received a front-seat look at the central bank and corporate collusion underpinning capitalism’s fraudulent paper-money scheme.

Upon retirement, Professor Fekete had invested his savings in Barrick Gold Corporation, a Canadian gold mining company. But instead of an expected return on his savings, the professor got an unexpected education in how Barrick assisted central banks in suppressing gold.

Barrick’s forward selling of unmined gold from 1988 to 2003 put thousands of ounces of paper gold on the market which forced down the price of physical gold. For years, the forwards sales of Barrick and Anglo-Gold Ashanti were responsible for the downward spiral of gold’s price, a goal desired by investment banks doing the bidding of central bankers.

Professor Fekete, as a shareholder, clearly understood that Barrick’s forward selling (or so-called hedging operations) came at the expense of shareholders. It did, however, directly benefit the central banks who wanted to cap the price of gold. Today, the “Barrick-cap”, a major “Barrickade” against gold’s rise is no more.

This month, on September 8, 2009, Barrick Gold Corporation announced it was taking a $5.9 billion charge against 3^rd quarter earnings in order to buy back all its forward contracts, a considerable sum to pay for succumbing to the wishes of those in power.

Once again, Professor Antal Fekete was right. Sponsored by the Gold Standard Institute, Professor Fekete will be in Canberra, Australia, November 2-5 speaking on “The World Financial Crisis and the Vanishing Gold Basis”, see http://www.professorfekete.com. I consider the Professor to be a light in these dark times. I and others will also be speaking.

It is absurd to discuss the price of gold without discussing central bank or government efforts to force the price of gold down, an effort that may soon be ending due to the imminent advent of the end-game.

In my Youtube video, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5o36Dj-ukPo, I discuss the possibility of whether or not the US will again confiscate gold. I wish the possibility were not so.

But, today, governments cannot see an alternative to that offered by central bankers, the merchants of debt who have enslaved nations with their fraudulent debt-based paper money. As yet, there are no alternatives to the bankers’ offerings. But after bankers and governments fall—and they will—alternatives will then become clear

Buy gold, buy silver, have faith.

Darryl Robert Schoon